Lav Agarwal, Joint Secretary, Union Health Department
New Delhi: India’s R fertility numbers are an indicator of how fast the COVID-19 pandemic is spreading. The central government says it has more than 1 of the eight states, including Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, Tamil Nadu and Kerala.
An R-value greater than 1 means that on average more than one person is already infected with an infected person, and this leads to an increase in cases.
The Center said that in the last week, 49.85 per cent of the total COVID-19 cases reported in the country were reported from Kerala.
Speaking at a press conference, Union Health Ministry Joint Secretary Lav Agarwal said: When the number is more than one, it means that the case is increasing and it needs to be controlled. The US, Canada, Australia and India have an average of 1.2R.
The Indian Express had earlier reported that the R-number was declining in the last week of June, but it increased significantly between June 20 and July 7. The analysis, conducted by a team of researchers led by Sitabra Sinha at the Institute of Mathematical Sciences, Chennai, found that the R-values for the entire country were 0.88 and 0.78 between May 15 and June 26, respectively.
Kovid cases are increasing in 18 districts including 10 districts of Kerala. These 18 districts in six states – Kerala, Maharashtra, Manipur and Arunachal Pradesh – now account for 47.5 per cent of the total COVID cases. Also, the rate of positive cases in 44 districts is more than 10 percent. These districts are located in Kerala, Manipur, Mizoram and Nagaland. The number of cases has come down in 222 districts. Agarwal said that on June 1, more than 100 cases were reported in 279 districts, but now the number has come down to 57 districts.
The growth rate and active cases are also estimated using the reproduction (R) number. Lav Agarwal, Joint Secretary, Union Health Ministry (1/3) pic.twitter.com/lSCP8AZXqB
— ANI (@ANI) 3 August 2021
Agarwal said that the second wave in India is not over yet. He said that there are a large number of Kovid cases across the world and the pandemic is not over yet.
Talking about the vaccine, the Health Ministry has so far given 47.85 crore doses in the country, which includes 37.26 crore first doses and 10.59 crore second doses.
“We gave 19.6 lakh doses in May and 43.41 lakh doses in July. He said the vaccine dose given in July had more than doubled in May.
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(High fertility numbers in eight states. Second wave in India still not over: Centre)